Tuesday, July 15, 2008

George Soros has become bullish on India......

What more does one want? .......As I have written, there is only India and China left to make money with GDP growth at 7.5% (due to slow down) .......others are either in negative growth rate or very negligible to write for......
Sooner or later FII's has to come back......they will buy what they sold at much higher rate.....

Rajeev

Read on:

SOROS GOES CONTRARIAN, SIGNALS A BUY
Billionaire Investor’s Hedge Fund Quantum Goes On A Buying-Spree, Invests Rs 600 Cr In Various Cos Since Feb As FIIs Turn Sellers
Vijay Gurav MUMBAI

BILLIONAIRE global investor George Soros has turned contrarian on the Indian stock market, which has seen stocks being beaten down over the past few weeks. His hedge fund Quantum, which was reported to have posted earnings of over 30% last year, went on a buying-spree at a time, when most funds were dumping stocks in a sliding market. On July 4, Quantum Fund bought a 3.8% equity in Jain Irrigation Systems, and close to 1% of the holding of Jai Corp for a value consideration of Rs 167 crore. Since February, the fund has made investments valued at close to Rs 600 crore, or $ 140 million, in various companies, including Indiabulls Financial Services, Indiabulls Real Estate and Kalindee Rail Nirman. Quantum’s selective stock picking comes at a time, when institutional investors have been pulling out a large chunk of money amid concerns over a combination of factors such as weak global markets, soaring global oil prices and spiralling inflation in India. “Hedge funds normally are active, when there is some momentum in the market. Quantum may be trying to do some value-buying, but one has to see how long the fund stays invested, given the prevailing uncertain market conditions,” said a stock broker. George Soros is famed for betting against the British pound in 1992 and making over $1 billion in the process, bruising the Bank of England (BoE) which fought a losing battle, ending up drawing down its reserves. Much later, he was attacked by former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad for speculating in currencies of South-East Asia. Indeed, Mr Soros had also lent money to Russia during troubled times. Among his latest acquisitions in India, Mr Soros bought a fresh stake of 3.8% in Jain Irrigation for Rs 121 crore. The stocks were bought at Rs 442.9 per share against the current market price of Rs 483. The stock appreciated 5.4% despite a flat movement in the Sensex during the past week. Apart from Quantum, a few other leading funds — Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and FID Funds —hold individual stakes ranging between 1.7% and 5% in Jain Irrigation. Mr Soros also picked up a small stake of 0.9% in Jai Corp at Rs 282 against Friday’s closing of Rs 372. The scrip, in fact, has vaulted 27% in one week, outperforming the market by a wide margin. In the past, the legendary investor had picked up stake in many other companies, and is known to have invested several million dollars across sectors. Two Indiabulls group companies — Indiabulls Financial Services and Indiabills Real Estate — are notable examples of Quantum’s recent acquisitions. The fund held 2.2% and 3.6%, respectively, in the two companies as on March 31, 2008. It also owns a 7.1% stake in Kalindee Rail Nirman, of which 6.8% was bought for Rs 32 crore in February. Hedge fund inflows are expected to have slowed down significantly, with the stock market turning extremely bearish after the biggest bull run in the Indian stock market that ended in January 2008. Since hedge funds mostly operate as sub-accounts of foreign institutional investors (FIIs), their activity is also reflected in the flows of foreign portfolio investors on Indian bourses. These investors have pulled out funds aggregating Rs 30,000 crore, or $7 billion, of Indian equities while the Sensex crashed 7400 points, or 35%, from its peak of 20873 on January 8. vijay.gurav@timesgroup.com

6 comments:

  1. good finding... :).. Really helpfull..

    ReplyDelete
  2. hi,

    I have a question. I dont really understand the logic of buying khalindee rail nirman for 468 in feb when they themseleves were shorting the sensex and pretty well knew that the stock would eventually come down?

    Even if we assume that they liked the stock it would have made sense if they have made that purchase now at 180 which is about 60% down.

    regards,'
    shree

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hello Rajeev Ji,

    How are you? How is your Job Search going on? Wishing you the best for your life. I am buying 20 of each Rail nirman @ decline. I have question I know stone India is your one of your picks. Looks like good to add slowly at this time. Any word on Stone India Ltd? Also one more not from your pick but just like to hear from you, if you track. This one corrected from 1300 to 210? United Breweries (Holdings) Ltd. and BSE Code is 507458. Thank you

    Ravi

    ReplyDelete
  4. I wants to put analysis of one of best analyst i have ever seen. Actually i am reading his all the messages at ISG unbelievably his all analysis is 100% correct. Like he told to sell long position at 19000 then 17000-17500 recently 14000-15000.

    Let me put his analysis over here.
    This is one of the worst news we may hear in our lifetime, as far as
    financial news are concerned.

    We are talking about an econmic damage to a size of India, yes a size
    of a nation's economy and that is the size we are talking about. (Or
    even more infect.......)]


    Even US Fed takes control of F&F, somewhere they have to get that
    money back.


    One of the biggest financial disastor in recent times.


    Severe repercussions are,
    -----------------------------------


    1 Dow may touch 9000. (This means that 5 to 6 years of gains in US
    markets for LT investors are going to be wiped off completely) A full
    scale financial disastor and innocent investors are not really at
    fault.


    As per today, dow will break a psycological 11000 level in any case
    and first time may close below that.


    2 US may not able to recover from these damage for 3 to 5 years. This
    is a sytematic self destruction, nothing more than that.


    3 India may not get any US based investment for atleast an year or so.
    (Possibly more than an year)


    4 We will now see a decoupling in future and that is for sure.
    (Decoupling can also be bad...........)


    5 Export oriented industries, apart from pharma exports are going to
    suffer. (Don't know the magnitude as it could be a minimum or
    significant) But if they all survive, they emerge out as a major
    global dominant force in a decade.


    6 My recently revoked BSE target of 9700 looks more and more likely.
    Although we have a strong support at 9850 and around.


    7 The Q is, do we have more pain to come? No one knows but deep inside
    I feel Yes.


    8 On a long run, perhaps we may witness, a significant rise of other
    powers as a direct result of self-destruction of US financial system
    as India, China and Brazil, Russia may rise to a new level. We may
    witness a slow but sure falling of a world's biggest economy for
    almost a half century.


    9 Are we witnessing that? In our lifetime, this could be a major
    event, if that happens. We may say, looking back in 2035, that look
    that was/were years (2007/2008/2009) were we witnessed a turning point
    and power gradually shifted to mightly India............(Having said
    that US has massive reserves and resourses but will be tested on them
    soon)


    10 If that happens or not, this is a time that doesn't come that
    often. We are witnessing one of the biggest slowdowns in a global
    economy.

    Regards
    Spandan


    Ahmed

    ReplyDelete
  5. messages at ISG?Can you please tell me what is that ISG stand for?

    Thanks
    Ravi

    ReplyDelete
  6. Dear ravi,
    ISG-> investment growth google group.
    here many big analyst giving there advice one of them is kukku sir, sometimes our rajeev bhai also write there.

    Ahmed

    ReplyDelete