Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Advertising spending in media set to increase this fiscal............

B Y A NUSHREE C HANDRAN anushree.m@livemint.com
························· MUMBAI

Advertising in newspapers and on television will grow this financial year at more than twice the pace of the last year, driven by sectors such as tele- coms, consumer goods, finan- cial services, automobiles and retail, a media research agency has predicted.

Spending on advertising in the media will increase 14% in the year, compared with a 6% rise in the year ended 31 March, says a report by GroupM, the media research arm of WPP Plc.
Advertisers are spending more on expectations of a good monsoon and higher economic growth, according to the report titled This Year, Next Year.
Traditional advertisers in- creased their spending be- tween January and March 2010, and the upswing has continued in the next three months, driv- en by the popular Indian Pre- mier League (IPL) cricket tour- nament.
Television advertising is ex- pected to grow 20% in 2011 and print advertising 7%.
Expenditure on television advertising will touch Rs11,897 crore in fiscal 2011, up from Rs9,914 crore in 2010 and Rs8,820 crore in 2009, GroupM predicts.
Broadcasters have increased their ad rates, even as the frag- mentation of viewers across an assortment of channels is pushing advertisers to spend more. Regional channels are also consolidating revenues as their viewership grows.
The economic slowdown boosted radio ad revenue as re- tail brands moved their expen- diture to the cheaper broadcast medium. Consumer goods, consumer durables and tele- coms contributed nearly one- fifth of radio's overall ad reve- nue.
The growth in print ad spending will likely ride on new launches in the automobile and financial services sectors.
Retail and consumer durables will also add to the numbers, the report says.
Newspapers will earn Rs11,088 crore in advertising revenue in fiscal 2011, up from Rs10,363 crore in 2010 and Rs9,832 crore in 2009, it fore- cast.
The increase in advertising revenue for magazines, howev- er, will be relatively smaller, touching Rs864 crore in 2011, up from Rs808 crore in 2010.
GroupM has predicted a 3.5% increase in global adver- tising spending, according to foreign media reports. In the US, media spending is ex- pected to decline by 1.3% in 2010.
GroupM executives were not available to comment on the report.
L.S. Krishnan, president of Mudra Group's Radar unit, said advertisers are willing to spend more today, and a good mon- soon could well push up ad spending by double dig- its.
But he cautioned that a poor monsoon and high inflation could dampen sentiment, re- ducing the disposable income of consumers and hurting the sales growth of companies.

“We would be back on a down- ward spiral,“ he said.
Sam Balsara, chairman and managing director, Madison Group, said advertising had bounced back, and could po- tentially create an “inflationary pressure on media rates“. It's a trend that's already visible, he said.
Star India Pvt. Ltd credited a hike in industry ad rates for 9-10% growth in advertising spending. Executive vice-presi- dent Anupam Vasudev said the economic downturn did not hurt television channels, as they do not depend too heavily on real estate and financial sec- tors, which were seriously hit.
“But telecom and FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) continued to advertise in a big way, and in the last six months advertising has picked up,“ said Vasudev.

My Comments:
Look out for Newspaper stocks like Sandesh, Deccan Chronicle etc....watch out for regional channels like Sun TV, Raj TV etc and also watch out for Ink producing Cos like Micro Inks etc....

Cable Corp is firing all cylinders.....now at 41....Lumax Ind crossed 300 today.....Cronimet Alloy has also started moving up after good consolidation around 42-43....


  1. Rajeev Sir,
    Here is one research report I came across on Venus Remedies.



  2. Rajeev,

    The Auto Scrip, Jamna Auto has many bulk sell orders. All of the sell deals are of the order of 2lakh shares.

    But still the scrip is holding at Rs.86

    Does this mean that if there are no more bulk sell orders, the scrip is about shoot?


    Bulk deals do not have much effect on the Price?

    Could you please explain this behavior?

    I have pasted the BSE bulk deals info below for your reference.


    28/06/10 S 2,16,474 86.79 1.88
    23/06/10 S 2,26,580 86.05 1.95
    22/06/10 S 2,20,000 86.04 1.89
    21/06/10 S 3,51,539 87.02 3.06
    09/04/10 B 1,25,000 104.02 1.30

  3. Prashant,
    I will only say that hold Jamna Auto.Buy if you wants to.....I have no doubt about its fundamentals.....

  4. Rajeev,
    Is that the reason for current crises as spain has to pay the debt loan installment..which they are not able to pay by 21st july...to ECB.. .keeping euro down..that they are going to defalt on payment..but they shld get the extention...and they will get..still traders are speculating on this

  5. Dear Rajeev
    On 19/4/10 you had recomended SICAL Logistics which was then at 92/=.Due to lack of funds I could not buy then. To day it is quoting at 69/=.Should I consider my self lucky and buy SICAL at 69/= or have you changed your views in this counter?